Gamersunite June's Journey Sweep The Board, Articles D

Vast amounts of what you read on this is rubbish. Dominic Cummings (@Dominic2306) / Twitter (Ive recently read some of the media commentary about 2019 that I ignored at the time and its amazing how many hacks thought I was trying to use vNs game theory. Many interesting developments and the launch of the 2024 campaign may be only a few weeks away, if Trump announces on 4 July as is being discussed in Mar-a-Lago. , Burton. Audacity to Win, Plouffe. Thinking, fast and slow, Kahneman. (Politicians also constantly make this mistake in hiring journalists to do communication, almost always a bad idea.). He was a businessman who understood systems thinking and was the first head of the Policy Unit in No10 for Thatcher. Fab: From Personal Computers to Personal Fabrication, Gershenfeld (MIT). The Ascent of Man, Bronowksi. *Renoir La Grande Illusion; La Regle de Jeu (Renoir said of the rage about the film, shot in 1938 between Munich and war, that hed showed a society in the process of disintegration, so that they [the characters] were defeated at the onset the audience recognized this. People dont realise that nobody in movies is interested in money Theyre really interested in its all an ego trip, status. Dominic Cummings substack | Substack This will also show you why high performance is so hard it is totally hostile to normal bureaucracies dominated by large numbers of middle managers. Mathematics for the Nonmathematician, Morris Kline. I know I should like Dickens, the Russians loved Dickens, but I just couldnt enjoy it, probably a school effect, and I should retry. Anybody who goes to Hollywood can see right away what the setup is Hollywood is Hollywood, theres nothing you can say about it that isnt true, good or bad. Quotes. I wrote this blog which has a further reading list. Much (mis)quoted, rarely read. In particular read Alan Kays The Power of the Context and watch the two-part YCombinator talk he gave. , Plouffe. . , von Neumann, 1955. He replied to Yudkowskys AGI ruin, . Yes its striking that looking at my internet favourites for politics there are no UK-based political blogs/writers I regularly read. If one could observe a discussion between Bismarck and one politician from the 20th Century, he might be the most interesting choice. it would have advised the same had Brexit not happened, but credit to the Cabinet Secretary for backing Vallance and me with the PM), c) the elite world resolutely refuses to consider procurement generally or the VTF in particular in the context of Brexit good/bad, d) in 2021 the VTF was effectively closed and turned into a normal entity rather than given the money and goal of replacing current vaccines with new ideas to solve the variants problem with safer technology, e.g nasal vaccines, e) this too is a non-subject in SW1. Colonel John Boyds briefings are great. It was a direct inspiration for my terrorist demand to Boris, July 2019: we must create an ARPA. The Quark and the Jaguar, Murray Gell Mann. Review of the disintegration of the Tories in the context of Brexit, SW1 vs Vote Leave perspectives on risks of Brexit/Remain, and why some of the VL team decided to go to No10 in 2019 and save the trolley to Get Brexit Done despite our reservations. If you want to stop Trump in 2024 you should figure out what you could offer Plouffes wife to let him do it. Richard Feynman was a giant of theoretical physics who famously defined science as "the belief in the ignorance of experts". Anyone interested in terrorism and counter-terrorism should watch Pontecorvos movie The Battle of Algiers, one of the best movies ever made. He believed that these clues were to be found partly in the evidence of the heavens and in the constitution of elements(and that is what gives the false suggestion of his being an experimental natural philosopher), but also partly in certain papers and traditions handed down by the brethren in an unbroken chain back to the original cryptic revelation in Babylonia. A classic on the 1972 campaign. Kahneman bravely admitted hed ignored some of his own lessons in believing studies he shouldnt have believed. by Rumelt. Number, Dantzig (1930, updated 1953; new edition 2007). In all of these struggles I tried to follow Boyds advice such as, connect yourself to sources of power, disconnect your opponent and in all of them, as the opponents OODA crumbled I observed what Boyd said would happen: it starts to feel like your opponent is working for you, the more they try, the worse it gets (e.g when Cameron called the press conference to denounce lies about the fact that Turkey was in the process of joining the EU!). I wish there was something similar on the history of the LMB at Cambridge, one of our crown jewels which Whitehall (and the VC office) has gradually buried with stupid regulation. I applied his basic ideas in the euro campaign, in the 2004 North East referendum, in thinking through education reform and trying to get the Department for Education to do what I wanted, in the Brexit referendum, in solving the 2019 impasse, in No10, and to removing this PM since spring 2021. I'm thinking re 'What should Labour do to win the next election'. SW1 suffers such extremely powerful wilful blindness even an event as big as covid doesnt puncture consciousness in many important ways. Almost the only good business book I have read on strategy. Please post questions below. My blog with other books HERE. the word strategy is a) used differently in military books, b) used differently over time, c) constantly misused in politics.). Start trial Already a paid subscriber? Most of the world is not like this! , Gowers. He did not however go quietly or in apologetic mode. Vast amounts of what you read on this is rubbish. I blogged on it here. one of my terrorist demands when Boris asked me to go to No10, 21 July 2019). The best biography in English (probably any language) is Otto Pflanzes three volumes. The Nazis did indeed think they were creating a new world beyond good and evil, so did Stalin. judge timothy kenny political affiliation. , you see a world historical genius skip between vast scales of time and space, connecting tiny things happening this moment to the biggest things affecting decades or centuries to come. The philosophising Tolstoy fought against the picture of an infinitely complex system in which most thoughts and actions fade to zero significance quickly but a few connect to others with highly non-linear effects. Click repeat), , Hamming. Youll see its very similar to Grovess principles (above). This is not true of blogs like Marginal Revolution. Im reading this summer. AT&T could only support it when a monopoly. which egg to use for IVF. , which was unpublished for many years and seems to be generally unknown, is super-useful. Like all the best political advice you dont need to be clever to understand it. Their favourite argument is the laughable its a small island, about as sensible as a general saying Alexander the Great was using cavalry so its out of date. Useful introduction to some fundamentals, from Pythagoras to Newton to e and complex numbers. Most educated people remain unaware of how little home environment affects IQ/education nor that modern analysis of DNA has confirmed the data from decades of twin/adoption studies. Work for Dominic Cummings at your peril, but his take on the state's Dominic Cummings Dec 13, 2022 40 94 #4 Regime Change, America 2024 Trump's disastrous error. NB. I advised spads and officials to read this in 2019 and ignore the media. Apr 18. I was not. Charlie Munger has written and spoken extensively about mental checklists/models he uses, not just for investing. LKY, Boyd, Groves all say the same). Elite opinion in London today is dominated by very similar people with very similar education and very similar views that inevitably include. Its fascinating both for getting hard things done and how to reform science funding. Many academics predicted OpenAIs approach would not work but have been proved repeatedly wrong.). , Zeilinger. , Gigerenzer. He did not try to influence todays arguments but instead tried to prepare the future, an approach of great power partly because, as Monnet said, theres almost no competition. , Frank Close (2011). (If anyone knows if his remarkable secretary, Mrs. OLeary, left any records or an oral history please leave links below. They have insurgent energy and feed on grievance. If youre in Georgia, visit her house in Milledgeville. Brexit and VL in No10 (original official advice was to go with the useless bureaucratic EU scheme. (I used this to argue for checklists and transparency over the repeated failures of social services with child abuse when in the Department for Education 2011-14. Ill do a separate list on science funding. Like with ARPA-PARC its fascinating to see how funders ignore such successful examples. While some lessons are specific to time/place (e.g how the Senate works in 1950) the most important lessons from all such books are quite abstract and common and I assume this will be true of these classics. Just in Time, John Hoskyns. Also though, everybody has bad luck and those who survive long enough to get good luck are very perseverant. , Charlie Munger. My essay on an 'Odyssean' Education - Dominic Cummings's Blog One must not be squeamish about admitting this (Strauss). Review of the disintegration of the Tories in the context of Brexit, SW1 vs, perspectives on risks of Brexit/Remain, and, and save the trolley to Get Brexit Done despite our reservations. 406. He left his Downing Street role following an internal power struggle, amid claims the PM's then-fiancee had blocked the promotion of one of his allies, Lee Cain, after months of internal warfare . I searched for explanations. Some Thoughts on Education and Political Priorities - Goodreads A good biography of Einstein by Isaacson. Gdels Lost Letter & P=NP (on maths, logic, P=NP, computational complexity), Steve Hsu (in general, and if interested in extreme talent Steve blogs a lot on this). The replication disaster means you have to be careful about what you believe but its still a good book. ), Dostoyevsky. He understood politics and government in a way I think almost nobody in 20th Century politics did and influenced it more than almost any elected leader. Most economists cant synthesise worth a damn. , one of the best movies ever made. Vernon Smith, economics Nobel-winner, argues that TOMS provides a better basis for economic models and prediction than modern neoclassical economics. Sources of Power, Klein. Like LKY, crucial if you really are interested in practical planning for high performance government. Its often found in terrorist safe houses when raided. ), Modern works on war / strategy (NB. E.g his few pages on maths and economics which few economists seem to know about! Los Alamos was crucial but it was part of a much vaster infrastructure of engineering projects, intelligence, planning and so on. Whenever and. Alexander the Great, Robin Lane Fox. As Strauss said, Nietzsche despised anti-semites and the sort of characters who controlled the Nazi party but it also cannot be ignored that in attacking ideas and clearing the ground for new values, he also prepared the ground for communism and fascism: Nietzsche did not mean it in the way people like Hitler and Mussolini meant it, but through his negations, he prepares it. *Come and See ( , Russian). . A history of ARPA-IPTO and Xerox PARC: how the internet and PC revolution was created. The basic arguments remain critical today. If youre thinking of doing a startup or just curious about how to do hard things you should read Paul Grahams essays. One of Britains most senior and respected civil servants, Michael Quinlan, wrote this paper after retiring. Dominic Cummings: Key points from his evidence to select - Sky News